Mark Melton

In Superforecasting, Tetlock and Gardner argue convincingly that studying how superforecasters think can help other analysts improve their forecasts.

The KRG’s Karim Sinjari insists few Peshmerga fighters have deserted but warns there may be more desertions if Kurdistan cannot pay them.

Gaddy and O’Hanlon from Brookings argue that a Reaganov Russia or Besieged Russia are the most likely scenarios after Putin leaves power, but telling the difference between the two would be difficult for foreign observers.

Many have rightly said Europe should have a more effective military force. However, Trump wrongly implies that bases in Germany do not serve any national interests, and he may even be wrong to imply that America has troops in Germany primarily to defend Europe.

Last fall, Norway’s TV2 released Occupied, a show about Russia occupying Norway that is now on Netflix with English subtitles. Providence readers would likely enjoy this window into a European perspective.

Ian Bremmer’s Superpower gives a good critique about America’s incoherent foreign policy and is a good introduction to different foreign policy choices.

Europe may cross the Rubicon on June 23 when the United Kingdom votes on whether to remain in or leave the European Union. The US should consider how Brexit could affect American foreign policy.

Vladimir Putin and the Russian Orthodox Church clearly have a close relationship, but their foreign policy in Syria is flawed.

Before the UK’s General Election in May 2015, the opinion polls had “herded” into a consensus, but they were very wrong. A recent inquiry explains why.

Ian Bremmer’s Superpower provides a different perspective to Obama’s description of his incoherent foreign policy in his final State of the Union Address.