In Superforecasting, Tetlock and Gardner argue convincingly that studying how superforecasters think can help other analysts improve their forecasts.
Mark MeltonMay 4, 2016
Gaddy and O’Hanlon from Brookings argue that a Reaganov Russia or Besieged Russia are the most likely scenarios after Putin leaves power, but telling the difference between the two would be difficult for foreign observers.
Mark MeltonApril 7, 2016
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