Political Risk

Is a Transatlantic Breakup Coming? Five Geopolitical Trends to Watch in Europe in 2020
Is a Transatlantic Breakup Coming? Five Geopolitical Trends to Watch in 2020

An outright transatlantic breakup isn’t imminent today, but some European countries may eventually try to balance the US and China geopolitically.

Moving Beyond the G7: America’s Self-Inflicted Rejection of Allies
Moving Beyond the G7: America’s Self-Inflicted Rejection of Allies

Trump has a better chance of averting a trade war with China than with the G7.

What Will Brexit Mean? A Review
What Will Brexit Mean? A Review

This morning, British Prime Minister Theresa May delivered a speech thankfully detailing her vision for Brexit beyond vague references. Still, continued uncertainty makes this drama one of the top stories I’ll be watching through 2017 and 2018.

Will the European Union Fail? Economists’ Contrasting Forecasts
Will the European Union Fail? Economists’ Contrasting Forecasts

Debates about whether the European Union will fail have often occurred in intellectual silos. Thankfully, AEI hosted a panel of economists who presented and defended their contrasting forecasts about the EU’s future.

Brexit and Pursuing Sovereignty over Regulations
Brexit & Pursuing Sovereignty over Regulations

If Britain does vote to leave, a driving factor would be a desire to reassert London’s sovereignty, instead of allowing the EU to dictate policies or regulations. Yet there is a risk that the UK would exchange real sovereignty for an imaginary kind.