If Britain does vote to leave, a driving factor would be a desire to reassert London’s sovereignty, instead of allowing the EU to dictate policies or regulations. Yet there is a risk that the UK would exchange real sovereignty for an imaginary kind.

A comparison between the key actors in the respective European referenda of June, 1975 and of June, 2016 reveals that the British Left and the British Right generally oppose European integration, while a muddled middle enables the ancient Protestant monarchy to slide by degrees further and further into Europe.

Europe may cross the Rubicon on June 23 when the United Kingdom votes on whether to remain in or leave the European Union. The US should consider how Brexit could affect American foreign policy.

Before the UK’s General Election in May 2015, the opinion polls had “herded” into a consensus, but they were very wrong. A recent inquiry explains why.